Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.0 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a whopping 21.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.2 minutes per game last year.
In contrast to last season's 1.3 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 0.7.
In terms of three-point attempts, the most aggressive team in the league without the home court advantage this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for three-point shots; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA since the start of last season (2.1).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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