Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this season to 3.9 per game.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a terrific 22.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 13.2 minutes per game last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated a mere 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.3 fouls per game last year.
The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the road team this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have shot 32.2% on threes (11th-weakest in the league) against the Pelicans, designating this as a tough matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (18.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.