Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season when it comes to 3-point attempts.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.1 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. slots into the 25th percentile for 3-point ability with a an unimpressive 20.8% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 24th percentile for playing time, logging just 13.9 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.