Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.6 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, creating a good matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing teams have captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 21st percentile for three-point prowess while playing on the road with a a poor 26.2% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 24th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 13.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.