Derrick Jones Jr. Blocks - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Blocks

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Blocks Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.9 blocks per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 89th percentile.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 8.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Derrick Jones Jr. ought to see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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