Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The LA Clippers are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-quickest tempo away offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.8 assists per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this metric.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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