Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 22, 2024

Updated May 22, 2024 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-195/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Derrick Jones Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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