Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 10, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-194/+139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production across the board.

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