Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (lengthening possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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