Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:25 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.
While playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production for all stats.

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