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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 1.1 assists per game on the road this year, placing him in the 15th percentile -- among the worst in the league by this standard.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

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