Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 13.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has increased this year to 21.5 minutes per game.
Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, logging a lowly 1.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Favors Under

The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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