Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 13.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has risen this season to 22.0 minutes per game.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have grabbed 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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