Derrick Jones Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:14 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.5 assists per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile -- among the league trailers by this standard.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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