Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has captured 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has played a measly 19.7 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 25.7 minutes per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. places in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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