Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has posted 1.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch: 76th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Nets.
The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
This year, the other team has secured 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (lengthening possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).

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