Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have nabbed 13.1 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production across the board.

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