Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has totaled 3.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's totaled overall this year at home.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Nets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nets rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Dennis Smith Jr. will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league on their home court this year.
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks (lengthening possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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