Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has put up a lowly 1.5 defensive boards per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 defensive boards per game last season.
The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

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