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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
Dennis Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dennis Smith Jr. has put up a lowly 1.5 defensive boards per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 defensive boards per game last season.
  • The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
  • The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
  • The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

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