Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.6% more than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 8.4 rate, Dennis Smith Jr.'s shots have fallen this season to 6.3 per game.
Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged a measly 19.5 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 25.7 minutes per game last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
As it relates to shooting, the Nets's unimpressive 99.4 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
The 6th-slowest tempo team in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.

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