Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 8.4 rate, Dennis Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have decreased this year to 6.4 per game.
Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged just 19.7 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 25.7 minutes per game last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's unimpressive 105.2 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 20 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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