Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has failed to make 3.7 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 4.9 mark last year.
This matchup is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, opposing squads have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league against them this year (85.6).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 22.5% of his shots from downtown when playing at home this year, putting him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. rates in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's unimpressive 103.0 points per game measures as the weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Brooklyn Nets.

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