Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing squads have totaled 87.0 field goal attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted just 19.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (4th-least in the league).
Dennis Smith Jr. will likely see a rise in performance for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has made 22.0% of his treys while playing at home this year, placing him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.
With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's lackluster 102.3 points per game places fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league while on their home court this year.
The Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 6th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

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