Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. ought to see a rise in effectiveness across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. comes in at the 16th percentile for three-point effectiveness with the home court advantage with a a bad 20.8% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Nets's unimpressive 99.0 points per game places worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Hawks have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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