Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 22.9% of his three-point attempts while on the road this year, placing him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been on the court for a lowly 19.8 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 25.7 minutes per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Nets's unimpressive 105.4 points per game rates 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have shot 38.7% on threes (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a positive matchup.

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