Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 48.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year away from home.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on the road.
This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 18.5 foul shots per game when the Toronto Raptors are at home this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's unimpressive 104.2 points per game settles in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.