Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to treys, the Nets's superb 13.8 successful threes per game settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year.
Over the last 18 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have shot 47.6% on field goals (10th-worst in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 21.0 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Dennis Smith Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has made 19.4% of his treys on his home court this year, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).