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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This matchup is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Warriors are the visiting team, their opposition has compiled the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (35.2%).

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 13thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Dennis Smith Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 19.8% of his 3-point shots with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The Golden State Warriors have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 28.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (most in the NBA).

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