Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted just 19.5 free throws per game when the Utah Jazz are on the road this year (2nd-least in the NBA).
Dennis Smith Jr. should get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. rates in the 18th percentile for 3-point performance at home with a a feeble 22.6% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. lands in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Nets's subpar 105.0 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year.
When playing on the road, the Utah Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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