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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have attempted 19.7 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Dennis Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. lands in the 24th percentile for three-point ability with the home court advantage with a an unimpressive 26.5% rate this year.

Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this season at home.

The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Heat are away from home (36.4).

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.

More Dennis Smith Jr. Player Props

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