Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (108.0).
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 18 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the Nets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. comes in at the 16th percentile for 3-point ability with a a poor 22.9% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. slots into the 80th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Nets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Nets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 11.7 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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