Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one for field goals; their opposition has shot for the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (44.6%).
The Nets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 38.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. rates in the 18th percentile for three-point efficiency with a a lackluster 24.4% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
In regard to scoring, the Nets's unimpressive 45.4% field goal rate measures as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.

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