Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 9.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season away from home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 92nd percentile for technical fouls, tallying a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Nets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Nets.
At home, the Washington Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 24.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-most in the NBA).

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