Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has made 39.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a good one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (129.0).
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
As a team, the Nets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.

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