Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:30 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 18.5% rate, Dennis Smith Jr.'s three-point proficiency has surged this year to 28.8%.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a tough one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (30.9).
The Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 0.5 mark, Dennis Smith Jr.'s bricked free throw attempts have fallen this season to 0.1 per game.

Favors Under

The Nets check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Pistons have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has attempted 29.6 foul shots per game (most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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