Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 7thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted a measly 5.7 shots per game this season, significantly less than his 8.4 mark last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 0.7 foul shots per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
As a team, the Nets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line when playing at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 18.6 foul shots per game.

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