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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.

When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 19.0 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 40.6% mark, Dennis Smith Jr.'s scoring prowess has dropped this season to 27.1%.

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made a measly 16.7% of his three-pointers this year, significantly less than his 18.5 mark last year.

This year, opposing squads have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.

The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

More Dennis Smith Jr. Player Props

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