Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-speediest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets rank 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted and missed 0.1 free throw attempts per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 0.5 mark last year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. places in the 19th percentile for shots taken on his home court, compiling 4.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.0 fouls per game away from home this year.
In regard to three-point shots, the Nets's lackluster 32.5% rate of made threes when playing at home settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have shot for the 7th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 7 games (48.6%).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Orlando Magic are on their home court, opposing squads have attempted a massive 26.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).