Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Nets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. places in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.0 fouls per game while at home this year.
The 7th-slowest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
At home, the Washington Wizards have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Brooklyn Nets have been bad at getting to the charity stripe away from their home court: worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 17.8 free throw attempts per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Wizards are at home, the other team has attempted a massive 29.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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