Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Nets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.8 free throws per game when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad since the start of last season (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 21st percentile for field goal ability at home with a a feeble 39.4% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. ranks in the 10th percentile for three-point efficiency when playing at home with a a weak 18.8% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. rates in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.