Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. measures in the 88th percentile for scoring ability away from his home court with a an outstanding 61.4% rate since the start of last season.
With respect to treys, the Brooklyn Nets's superb 38.0% rate of converted threes places 2nd-highest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has come down with 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 20.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Dennis Smith Jr. is expected to see a spike in production for all stats considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 19.7% of his treys when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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