Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should raise plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Pelicans are playing at home, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (36.0).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 25.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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