Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 9:28 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 19.5 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).
Dennis Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 0.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, -26.0% less than he's converted from three overall this season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 0.7 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
Dennis Smith Jr. has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which should decrease plays for the Hornets.

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