Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Pistons have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 0.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, -26.0% less than he's made overall this year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 0.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Pistons are the visiting squad, the other team have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (38.1%).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.