Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (43.9%).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 0.0% of his treys over the last 15 games, -26.0% less than he's converted from three overall this season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a massive 25.9 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases stat production for all stats.