Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 8.0 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.1 rate last year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been on the court for an impressive 24.3 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 16.8 minutes per game last year.
The matchup vs. Keldon Johnson is a strong one for 3-pointers; when facing opposing starting SGs this year, they have made a whopping 47.1% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to more plays for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 23.9% of his three-point attempts at home this year, putting him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year.
The matchup against Keldon Johnson is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; when facing fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game (20th percentile).

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