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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Wizards have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 19.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a massive 22.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 18.6% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The Charlotte Hornets have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

This matchup is a difficult one; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (119.0).

The Wizards have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hornets.

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