Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 93.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.4% higher than he's sunk overall this season while on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Hornets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.
The matchup against the Bucks is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 21.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 13.3% of his shots from downtown when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).
The Bucks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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