Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made a terrific 3.4 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.1 mark last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 1.9 treys per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 0.7 rate last year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have totaled the 3rd-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (13.2).
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat.

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