Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home.
The Hornets have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Suns.
The Suns have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games while playing at home (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has made 21.4% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (80th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Suns may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a measly 26.4 free throws per game over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).
The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for 3-pointers; their opposition have shot for the 7th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (37.8%).
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

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